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CalFresh Recipients At Risk Due to H.R. 1 Changes

In July 2025, Congress passed H.R. 1, which imposes time limits for SNAP/CalFresh benefits on several additional populations if they cannot prove they meet certain work requirements or exemptions. These time limits are not yet in effect because California has a statewide waiver through January 2026.

Once the waiver expires, populations that will be at risk for losing benefits due to H.R. 1 changes to time limits include:

Below are very rough estimates of the number of CalFresh recipients, as of May 2025, in some of these at-risk categories. Note: Not all of these recipients will lose benefits, as some will likely be able to prove they meet work requirements.

Total numbers of CalFresh persons are provided for reference.

Methods

For CalFresh persons: Used Raw Data from the California Department of Social Services (CDSS) CalFresh Dashboard accessed July 22, 2025: https://www.cdss.ca.gov/inforesources/data-portal/research-and-data/calfresh-data-dashboard, updated July 10, 2025. May 2025 participation by county used to calculate the share of persons and households, respectively, of total CalFresh population in each county.

For Adults 55-64 no kids, and Adults 18-64 with kids 14-17: from CBPP internal analysis of ACS 2023 microdata, shared via personal correspondence through California Budget & Policy Center. Some have been published here:  https://www.cbpp.org/research/food-assistance/senate-agriculture-committees-revised-work-requirement-would-risk-taking#millions-at-risk-of-losing-cbpp-anchor

For Veterans: Used the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP)’ estimate of 115,000 veterans statewide and 9% of veterans on CalFresh. https://www.cbpp.org/research/food-assistance/snap-helps-12-million-veterans-with-low-incomes-including-thousands-in
We combined with CalVet population estimates for 2025 from https://www.calvet.ca.gov/VetServices/PublishingImages/Pages/Veteran-Demographics-/California%20Veteran%20Population%20by%20County.pdf

We thank CBPP and the California Budget & Policy Center for their help providing statewide estimates.

To download the table, 点击这里.

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